According to the United Nations, the global population, as of mid 2017 numbers around
7.6 billion people.
Of that number, only 15% live in Europe, North America and Oceania combined.
By 2050 the global population is projected to rise to between 9.4 and 10.2 billion.
In 1950 that number was only 2.5 billion: even then an unprecedented high.
With this growth comes unavoidable challenges - from ecosystem destruction, the using up
of clean water sources and much more.
Much discussion is had about how this growth will affect the developing world, But much
less is said about how the western world fits into these projections.
In particular, little is ever communicated to the public at large about how this growth
is already impacting the demographics of Europe and the west more generally, and what contribution,
if any, the west is making to this growth.
So let's examine: where is this incredible population explosion coming from?
Population growth is often described as an inevitable product of the technological advances
of modern civilization.
Indeed, since the industrial revolution the number of humans on earth has ballooned as
never before.
But this isn't really the whole story.
In recent decades most of the world's population growth has been in the less industrialised
nations of the developing world, whilst in the more industrialised nations the population
has grown only minimally, with the number of births only barely exceeding the number
of deaths per year.
It is estimated that at present 82% of the world's population lives in the developing world
Most of the world lives in Asia - with 60% of the global population and 6 out of 10 of
the world's most populous countries on that continent.
As well as this, a significant amount of the world's population growth in the 20th century
was down to growth in Asia.
But if we look at the fertility rates of the different continental regions we see a changing pattern
Asia overall currently has a relatively stable fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman
enough - to replace its present population with a modest rate of growth - a change from the pattern
of the last 70 years, when it added 3 billion more people to the world.
Bear in mind though, that as modest as the rate of increase may be, in real numbers Asia's
population increases by 40-50 million people every year.
If we look at Europe though we see a fertility rate of only 1.6 - below what would be needed
to keep a stable population.
At the other extreme is Sub-Saharan Africa, with a fertility rate of 4.8 children per
woman - which, when coupled with the decline in child mortality over the last century,
makes for a large rate of growth.
In fact, if we look at individual countries we see even bigger numbers.
for example: Zambia 5.67, Burkina Faso 5.79, Somalia 5.89,
Burundi 6.04, and Niger 6.62 children per woman.
If we look at the percentage shares of the global population - Europe has already fallen
from 21.7% in 1950 to only 10% in 2015.
Africa and Asia, meanwhile, have both increased their share of the global population, whilst
Africa is expected to keep on increasing that share into the next century.
According to one UN report on population trends: "Most of the additional 3 billion people from
now to 2100 will enlarge the population of developing countries"
Most of which will be in Africa.
Let's look at some side by side comparisons.
Western countries vs countries that are major sources of immigrants to the west.
For the moment, we'll leave aside the United States, as that probably deserves to be looked at
separately and in more detail.
Let's also compare how long it took each country to double its population - meaning we'll look
back in time to find the year in which its population was half of what it is now and
note how long a time that was.
This should give us a sense of the scale of growth that we are looking at.
First up: Germany, current population - 82.7 million - fertility rate only 1.4 children per woman.
Its population has doubled over 145 years, approximately 41 million more people added since 1871.
Next, India - the country with the largest diaspora community in the world:
current population 1.32 billion, fertility rate 2.45.
India's population doubled in 39 years, that's an additional 650 million people since 1977.
The United Kingdom - population 65 million, fertility rate 1.89.
Its population doubled over 105 years, approximately 32 million more people added since 1911.
Pakistan - the country with the world's 6th largest diaspora living outside its borders,
and one of the largest diaspora communities in the UK.
Its population: 193.2 million, current fertility rate 2.68.
its population doubled in only the last 30 years, that's 96 million more Pakistanis now
than in the middle of the 1980s.
France - population 66.9 million, fertility rate 2.07.
Its population doubled in the last 185 years.
Nigeria - current population 186 million, current fertility rate - 5.13 children per woman.
Its population doubled in only the last 27 years.
Italy - 60.6 million people, fertility rate only 1.43 children per woman.
It took 116 years to double its population.
Bangladesh - 162 million people.
fertility rate 2.19.
Its population doubled in the last 37 years, adding an extra 81 million to its total - note
that that number is bigger that the entire population of Italy.
Recent statistics also show Bangladeshis are the 2nd most numerous nationality to arrive
in Italy via the Mediterranean migration route.
Sweden - 9.9 million people.
current fertility 1.88 children per woman.
Its population took 117 years to double.
Afghanistan: 34.6 million people.
current fertility rate 5.2. Despite the recent conflicts in the country, and the displacement
of people that resulted from it, its population doubled in only the last 22 years.
Canada - population 36.2 million, fertility rate 1.6.
its population doubled in the last 55 years.
In recent years Canada's growth has been driven almost entirely by immigration.
The Philippines - Canada's no.1 source of immigrants in recent years, perhaps surprisingly
beating even China and India.
Its population: 103.3 million.
fertility rate 3.06.
Its population doubled in the last 33 years.
Australia - population 24.1 million, fertility rate 1.77 children per woman.
Its population doubled in the relatively brief period of 48 years.
Overseas migration accounted for more than half of Australia's population growth in 2016.
China - the nation with 4th largest citizen diaspora in the world.
Han Chinese are also the largest ethnic group in the world.
Migrants from China, India and The Philippines combined are now a larger source of migrants
to Australia than migrants from the UK, the country traditionally seen as its parent nation.
China's population: 1.3 billion.
Its fertility rate has fallen in recent times after the intervention of government policy,
nevertheless its population doubled in the last 53 years, adding an extra 685 million
to its total - the equivalent of more than 28 Australias.
Let's take a quick look at examples from some specific regions, first the Middle East and North Africa:
Syria, population doubled in 35 years
note that these numbers are only up to 2010, as since then the conflict has displaced or killed
about 3 million people.
Yemen - population doubled in the last 24 years
Iraq - its population doubled in the last 24 years, in spite of recent wars there.
Iran - its population doubled in 35 years.
and Algeria it took 34 years to double its population.
Next, Sub-Saharan Africa:
The Democratic republic of Congo - doubled its population in the last 23 years
Ethiopia - recovered from serious famine to double its population in the last 24 years,
adding an extra 51 million people.
Mozambique - doubled in 23 years. Uganda, doubled its population in the last 21 years.
And finally Niger - incredibly doubled in only 18-19 years.
In fact, Sub-Saharan Africa's population explosion is so phenomenal it has more than quadrupled
since 1960.
Some African countries in that time, including Uganda, Tanzania, and Niger, have increased
by 5 or even 6 times.
Those unprecedented increases are only projected to continue.
By 2050, the entire continent of Africa's population will have doubled.
Meanwhile, Europe's aging population will shrink.
What's more, by that time - 40 percent of all births and about 40 percent of all children
will be in Africa.
The reason for this growth: modern medical techniques and innovations in food production,
all largely developed in the west, have helped more people in Africa survive childhood and
go on to have children of their own.
To quote one article on the matter, "modern medicine and healthcare on the continent means
more babies are surviving birth complications, and fewer adults are dying of preventable diseases.
But the number of children being born is not dropping, or is doing so very slowly."
Note also that this article cites a study that puts the birth rate in both Africa and
Niger specifically, higher than the one cited earlier in this video, just in case you thought
the scenario I was presenting was particularly alarmist.
Despite significant efforts from western governments and other global bodies, Africa's population
remains overwhelmingly poor.
To quote another article: "Today, Africa is home to about three-quarters
of the world's poor, and while poverty is falling globally, the reverse is true of Africa.
According to the World Bank, more people in Africa are poor today than in 1990."
While the share of Africans living in extreme poverty dropped from 56 per cent in 1990 to
43 per cent in 2012, the number of people living in poverty actually rose by 100 million
because of population growth."
This poverty, and that like it throughout the developing world, fuels much of the migration into the west
But incredibly, the efforts by western powers and various global institutions to alleviate
this poverty, in fact helps worsen the poverty and encourages more population growth.
According to one academic study: "foreign aid affects population growth primarily
through its effect on fertility" further:
"aid flows from advanced economies to the impoverished nations foster population growth
in the recipient countries and adversely affects the recipients' incentive to invest in human capital."
And who sends that aid money?
The west.
A quick look at the following map reveals the incredible reliance of most African nations
on aid, and gives an indication just how much the expansion of the continent's population
is down to the intervention of western governments and the apparatus of global governance.
But it gets worse.
Population growth in the developing world, also fuels conflict, which in turn drives
the migration into the west.
From an article on Stanford University's 'consensus for action blog':
"As the migrant crisis in Europe continues to heat up, everyone is quick to recognize
the immediate cause: people are fleeing war-torn regions, this time primarily Syria and ISIS-controlled strongholds.
But, hiding underneath that proximate cause is a long-term driver that will need to be
recognized and dealt with.
That driver is rapid population growth."
"Rapid population growth ultimately results in an intensified competition for resources,
jobs, and even such basics as food and water.
If this takes place where long-standing animosity between different religious and/or ethnic
groups also exists people literally flee for their lives."
And so, If we take Italy and its experience in the
recent migrant crisis as an example, breaking down the demographics of those who are arriving
we see very definite patterns.
Besides the overwhelmingly adult and male nature of the migrants (putting the lie to
the image of 'women and children fleeing war' we are given by the media) we can see that
what connects the different nationalities of those who are arriving, is not so much
war, as population growth.
In fact, the only nation in the top 10 list of arrival nationalities that isn't in Africa
is Bangladesh - which is neither a warzone, nor even country nearby to Italy.
Figures from Greece for the same period reveal a similar story, with an emphasis more on
the Middle East, compared to Italy, but the same impression that the overarching connection
is population growth.
And so: western people pay money to their governments and charities - who via various
global institutions redistribute that money to Africa, the Middle East and other developing
nations, which in turn increases the population in those places - creating more conflict and
poverty and finally driving migration from those parts of the world into the aging, low fertility west.
On the basis of these numbers alone we begin to see how potentially suicidal any kind of
open-door policy on migration will be for the west.
For every refugee escaping conflict allowed into the west, every economic migrant fleeing
poverty - millions more are sure to be following behind.
When declining western birth rates combine with a virtually inexhaustible influx of people
from Africa and Asia, we have the recipe for an unprecedented and almost total transformation of western nations.
Which all begs the question: if western people knew this would be the ultimate effect of
their generosity, if they knew this was how their money was being spent - ultimately against
their own interests and to create more misery and problems for everyone -
would they be happy about it?
Is it perhaps incumbent on governments, especially those global entities, under whose remit aid
and global migration are managed, to do something about this?
But is this really such a mistake on their part?
Or, is it in fact proceeding more or less as those institutions intend?
Are global powers, perhaps, actually encouraging migration to the west?
Subscribe to this channel if you want to find out more, as I intend to cover this subject
in much more detail in future videos.
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