I want to invite Dr. Erdem Erkul who is in charge of public sector
and investments of Microsoft Turkey.
Welcome.
Hi everyone, we've gathered here in such a beautiful day. We're very happy.
Because technology is only a tool, a tool that shapes the future.
And in this hall, there are teachers, professors,
and students who will shape the future all together.
Do you realise how strong this platform is? This is such a happy situation.
But I think we should applaud each other since the atmosphere
is really strong here, in this hall.
I will continue my speech after applauding you.
And of course, it is such an honour that our minister is here with us
because he is the leader who takes the lead to shape the future.
He will determine a policy which will lead us, about future.
Because of his spearheading position, he is the one implementing these policies.
He gave us attention and shared his thoughts with us.
It was a very important moment for us.
We thank him for that.
Since the moment the world was created,
everything is moving very fast.
Think about the ancient times, they improved really fast.
People, in the ancient times firstly created tools for their basic needs.
But what separates humans from others, is skill and intelligence.
And with these qualities, they
produced knives and the wheel.
Then, we have a look and see that they also created writing, the calendar,
and the compass, and the world's speed increased dramatically.
Even though we think world's rotation is one and only,
we started experiencing this speed far more than itself.
After that, the core tools that we couldn't imagine living without, like
Cell phones, television, calculator came into our lives.
But when we look at them, they were merely a production.
In other words, they were always production-oriented,
production and need oriented products and developments.
And while these were happening, again, technology was being used.
Therefore, we've started living in today's century.
Some call it the Industry 4.0, others call it other names.
But instead of seeing this as numbers, we need to see it as the future
and see how to shape this future
inventing production and creating new concepts are of the utmost importance,
of course, with today's society.
We've travelled from the past to the present.
Here, now, there is a brand-new digital world,
that you have been using, we have been using
after the 2000s. What is this digital world?
Internet of Things. Everyone is talking about it. We also are.
Can you hear me? Yes
Artificial Intelligence and Digital Twin.
These technologies are, let's say, technologies
that will shape the next 10, maybe 20 years.
These technologies are all in our lives.
When we have a look at it, in the year 2021, Artificial Intelligence will be
worth 52.5 million dollars. We've also shared the numbers with you here.
A market will be formed.
This is really a huge number.
In the year 2020, more than 50 million devices will be connected to each other.
There is a photo in the year 1957, maybe some of you've seen it.
In 1957 it took 13 people to carry a computer from cargo trailer to an apartment.
However, when we reach 2020, maybe we're closer than that,
A year from now, even if we consider today,
there will be 13 devices on a single person.
That is, we will be carrying 13 functioning devices connected
to each other or not, on us.
Which means in 1957, 13 people carried 1 computer and, in these years
every single one of us could be carrying 13 devices on ourselves.
Digital Twin.
It is a new concept. Especially I want the teachers and
the education communities to give this topic the utmost importance.
Because again, this is what will transform the world.
Digital Twins is also one of the concepts that will shape this are.
The institutions, companies, education community that will use this
technology, are going to contribute to the cycle, the work cycle
in a great manner, which we can see.
Digital Economy concept, since we are talking about the future
we should not forget about this concept.
When we have a look at the future economy, in 2025,
24 percent of the world economy will come from Digital Economy.
That is, the contribution of the information sector and
the contributions of other sectors we talked about
will make up 24.5 percent of the economy. This is an amazing number.
Again, why is education so important?
There is an Asian saying:
"If you plan is for one-year, plant rice,
make investments to rice,
but if your plan is for 100 years, make investments to education."
With these technologies, when we look at the new generation called Z generation,
their usage habits, their perspectives on life,
and the way they look at technology are totally different.
And particularly, this community is the community that will
transform that generation, inspire that generation.
It will teach them how to bring their ideals to life and
how to make them get closer to their ideals.
All of us might need to discuss how we can contribute
to the digital economy in 2025.
If we share the numbers again, we can see that digital economy improves rapidly.
That is, if we look at 2015 especially, there is a market
worth 2 trillion dollars for this area specifically.
The increase of robots,
we're talking about robots. Just now our minister had mentioned.
Robots are improving incredibly but
selling robots, using them and spreading them to other fields
have scaled up even more rapidly.
It will again contribute a lot to the digital economy.
In 2016, the shipment of 3D printers went up as much as twice.
In 2020, this increase will be four times. This is again a different number.
Additionally, usage habits have changed dramatically.
Today, we shouldn't interpret consumption as purchase and sale.
In other words, when we get education, we also consume something.
During our education, we receive it from different channels.
Especially online education, online consumption has started increasing rapidly.
In the past, jumps emerged once in 10 years, but now they occur in 3-5 months.
These are the things that will shape digital economy.
We talk about machines. What do we say? We'll live with machines in the future.
Now, machines are coming to a very different point.
I mean, it's not just the machines we turn on and off,
machines that live with us, give us ideas,
machines that direct us.
But of course we have a different situation here.
When we have a look at this table, we see it is very interesting indeed.
In 2024, they will have the ability to translate into different languages.
What they'll do in 2026, let's discuss this together, let's talk in the break.
The machines will have the ability to do homework.
We might have to shape our education models by analyzing the situation and
predicting if we are ready for it or not.
In 2029, we come to the topic of autonomous vehicles.
In 2027, the trucks and deliveries will be made by self-driving cars.
These are really crucial for us.
In 2029, it is predicted that machines will be able to
compete with us in 5000-meter runs.
Why do we share these numbers?
We share these numbers with you, because we try to predict and consider how
we can improve our education system,
how we can adapt it,
how we can give inspiration to the Z generation,
especially for those who were born after 2000,
and how we can lead them in a right way. We think that at least these
applications can be instructive for them.
One question when was the word "robot " first used, or the first
"robots" were used, or mentioned? Do you have any guesses?
Maybe 20 years ago? Or was it mentioned 50 years ago?
Someone said 500. Does anyone increase this number?
100 years ago. 100 years ago,
in a theatre play, which was a novel adaptation earlier,
then it was adjusted into theatre.
Robots were mentioned in the play written by Karel Capek.
And these robots were defined as slaves or sloggers.
They were identified as the machines which can
do what the humans don't want to to, or can't do.
This play was created 100 years ago, which means it was created in the 1920s.
It is a fascinating and distinctive story, but
since that time, there is a description that people make of robots.
We're still discussing how robots will be in use and how they will become
a part of our lives, but as robots already live with us, there's no reason
to talk about it, as if it will happen in the future.
What will be the answer of the question: how many employees do you have?
Because we will hear about this question a lot, how many teachers do we have?
In private schools, public schools...
How many employees do we have in our companies?
These questions are critical for us.
However, how are the answers going to be?
The number of human workers, meaning that many humans work in
our institution, company, or at where we stand.
Or how many humans have attended this activity?
That is a question of the future.
Number of robot workers, how many robots are there, here with us?
Maybe they will ask us reserved seats for themselves.
For the events in the next 10 years...
That is, they will tell us that they want to sit at some specific seats.
Maybe they won't even understand what we are trying to say.
Maybe, we will ask for support from Münir..
The number of digital workers, in other words, smart software
that is responsible for repetitive tasks in institutions or companies.
These are also very crucial.
We will be talking about these in the next years.
Actually, we will be experiencing these, rather than talking.
If we have a quick glimpse, in the near future,
there are professions that are predicted to be autonomous.
Let's phrase it like this. How many ironmongers, how many millwrights do we have here?
There is no longer a job that requires craftsmanship.
How much in the factories, textile factories, other factories...
Robots can do many jobs of the people who do these labours.
But when we have a look, in the future, robots will take more place in fields
such as jewelry, which is exciting, and postal services.
In the postal services field, robots will have much more importance,
they will take more places in this field.
Insurance business is interesting too, according to the estimates, 99% of this
sector will be conquered by robots.
That is, there will be no need for humans, but what happens when this happens?
Will they take our jobs? We shouldn't think like that.
We need to adapt to the world, which revolves faster,
two times, three times faster.
The core building block which will make these
adapted is the members of education community here.
Skills, competencies...
By 2020, we are already talking about these concepts in the 2023 vision,
we are all talking about them in the Vision 2023 Education Document, but
we will experience life with these skills and robots, together.
What are those? Complex problem solving, very important...
Creativity, critical thinking, people management, teamwork, emotional intelligence,
decision making, working based on service
conferring, multi-thinking, these notions will be the 10 most
important and useful abilities in 2020 and beyond.
We need to focus on these concepts more.
Again, when we have another look at if the robots will take our job...
This depends on how we transform ourselves, how we change ourselves,
don't think about this like hiring.
Let's think about how we will live with robots and machines.
But as we said before, the situation about ironmongers, millwrights...
Rather than these professions, there have been new ones.
There have been industrial engineers, computer engineers,
machine engineers...
Maybe 15-20 years from now, we're not going to talk about these.
Maybe these professions will have no meaning.
What kind of professions will enter our life though?
Let's have a look: space tour guidance. Does anyone want to do this job?
Yes, I can see the hands up, perfect.
Earthquake predictors... 50 years ago, people didn't think that
weather conditions could be predicted.
Many private sectors, governments were thinking
about how to manage the weather, no one
believed that the weather could be predicted.
So we've read so many things, we made researches, so while people were
troubled about predicting the weather, now there is a possibility
that a new profession called "earthquake predictor" is on the table.
And, people will do this profession together with machines.
Memory surgeon, pilot of commercial space craft, that is, in upcoming periods, in 20-25 years
in upcoming periods, in 20-25 years, this is the near future,
Who will go to space? Who won't? Why not piloting?
Medical mentors...
What is this medical mentor? It is one of the possible professions.
This is about your imagination, we thought of medical mentors.
You can think of something much more different.
Something that might happen in the next 5, 10, 15-20 years.
Now machines, especially robotic machines, are already doing surgery.
But especially in diagnosis and treatment decisions,
doctors are really important.
All of us, here, have experienced this, individually.
Now, our doctors, experienced doctors could be the medical
mentors of robots, after surgeries.
Organ and body producers...
We're talking about organ transplants a lot,
but the world is going to a different place,
so that 3D machines started producing organs.
Especially, the institutions, companies
and governments that will invest in this field,
and give extra attention to this area in the future,
everyone thinks these can create new job fields.
Personal yield mentor, that is, how we use our energy.
In any case, machines and robots will do most part of the jobs that we do.
Then, how can we work more efficiently, more productively?
We will start thinking about it.
Researches show that we will probably see this profession.
Let's see what Microsoft is doing.
Technology is just a tool.
In terms of getting the kids working together and motivating them,
their teacher is the most important factor.
says Bill Gates.
Bill Gates, the Founder of Microsoft also considers teachers as
the most crucial part of the community.
It is very important,
especially if we look at the people who've changed the world
and the leaders, give utmost importance to reading.
Bill Gates reserves a week, in a month, a year, sorry;
he reserves two weeks of one year just for reading.
And we will be different from the robots on this context. Even if they
will be more capable than us on other things,
on the topics of imagination, emotional intelligence, improving oneself
through reading; humans will be more capable than robots.
Starling birds,
we've all seen them.
These are millions of birds, flying together.
Believe me, if we count them, the number will be very high.
The special thing about these birds is that they fly in a 30 km radius,
while murmuring, without colliding with each other, and with that
murmuring sound, protecting themselves against outside factors.
But here, these birds fly according to some principles.
So, there isn't a single leader here.
There is a bird in front of them,
but with other birds, they fly and dance in harmony.
Here, we have cooperation, teamwork,
openness, imagination.
We have the opportunity to travel to a beautiful place together.
While we were thinking about these, we were able to be together.
We have teachers here.
Public schools, private schools, universities,
IT administrators and students are here. We are here.
And all of us will collaborate here, the whole day.
Atatürk states that two armies are very important for a nation.
One is the army, the other is the army of knowledge.
And, this army will shape the future.
All together with our teachers and students
we will walk towards the future in harmony.
Again, the features that differentiate us from machines
are literature, art, music. They are very important.
In this presentation today, the background music behind these birds is
a composition of Sultan Abdülaziz, Gondol.
Some of you may know.
Again, music, art, literature are what
separates us from robots, always.
But those factors are factors that will help us work better, together.
With the hope of shaping the future without colliding with each other.
Thank you very much. Thank you.
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