Tuesday, July 24, 2018

Youtube daily report w Jul 25 2018

2020 Election News: Biden, Holder, & 'Yoga Vote' Tim Ryan | Heavy.com

Trump has not yet announced a reelection bid, though he filed the papers for reelection hours after his inauguration.

There's a ton we don't know about the 2020 presidential election, and a lot that we won't know for several months.

But while only one Democrat — congressman John Delaney of Maryland — has formally declared his candidacy, a picture of what the Democratic primary will look like is becoming a bit more clear.

We're about a year and a half away from the Iowa caucuses, which will take place on February 3, 2020.

Polling this far out from an election doesn't have great predictive value.

GOP primary polls at this point during the 2016 cycle didn't even list Donald Trump as an option.

But it's not useless, either.

At this point in 2014, Hillary Clinton had established herself as the clear Democratic frontrunner.

Though she got a more competitive challenge from Bernie Sanders than most people expected, she remained the favorite throughout the nominating contest.

What follows is the first installment in a series of posts examining the run-up to the Democratic and GOP primaries.

Bookmark our 2020 election page and follow me on Twitter for frequent updates and analysis.

2020 Election News.

Here's a roundup of the latest developments in the 2020 election:.

Republican National Committee Announces Charlotte as Location.

The Republican National Committee has announced Charlotte as its 2020 Convention Location.

The announcement marks the end of a year-long search for the site, in which Las Vegas was the other prime contender.

Charlotte, which hosted the Democratic convention in 2012, will host a major party convention for the second time in three cycles.

Former Attorney General Eric Holder Is Considering a Run.

White House Correspondent April Ryan tweeted on July 19 that former Attorney General Eric Holder is considering a presidential run.

Holder has previously acknowledged his considerations for a 2020 run, and said in a March interview that he would decide by "the beginning of next year" whether he would run or not.

Kamala Harris Recently Signed a Book Deal, Set to Release in January 2019.

About a week ago, Senator Kamala Harris signed a book deal with Penguin Books, which is often an indicator of a presidential run.

The book, titled 'The Truths We Hold: An American Journey', is set to be published in January, 2019, one year prior to the Iowa caucuses.

Joe Biden Says He'll Make a Decision by January.

As for Biden, he announced the deadline for announcing a potential presidential run.

During a meeting in Bogota, Columbia, Biden said that he knows he has to "make up his mind," and that he has to do it "by January.".

Ohio Rep.

Tim Ryan Is Considering a Presidential Run Focused on the 'Yoga Vote'.

According to a report by Intercept, Ohio Rep.

Tim Ryan is also considering a presidential run in 2020, and reportedly believes his journey to the White House would be via "the yoga vote".

Ryan has long been a champion of mindfulness and meditation, and has even created a "Quiet Time Caucus" in the House.

New 2020 Presidential Election Polls.

On July 20, CNN released its latest "Definitive Ranking of 2020 Democrats", a subjective set of rankings which lists Biden as the top contender, followed by Warren, Harris, Gilibrand, and Sanders to round out the top five.

In addition to those candidates, a bevy of new potential candidates were considered within the top ten, including Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Mayor Mitch Landrieu of New Orleans and Governor Steve Bullock of Montana.

2020 Election Prediction Markets.

Prediction markets such as those at PredictIt can be a useful window into the "conventional wisdom" about the state of the race.

Here's how traders at PredictIt see the Democratic primary, Republican primary, and general election: (Note: Prices for each candidate reflect the percentage chance traders give each candidate of winning the race.

For example, if a candidate is trading at 34 cents, that translates to that candidate having a 34 percent chance of winning the race.

For the sake of clarity, I'm converting PredictIt prices to percentage chances:).

2020 Democratic Primary Predictions.

PredictIt traders have Senator Kamala Harris as a narrow frontrunner to win the nomination.

Traders give Harris a 20 percent chance to win the nomination.

She's closely followed by Bernie Sanders at 17 percent, Joe Biden at 16 percent, Elizabeth Warren at 12 percent, and Cory Booker at 11 percent.

If you think there's a good chance the Democrats will nominate a celebrity candidate, you can get favorable odds on Oprah (4 percent) and The Rock (2 percent.).

2020 Republican Primary Predictions.

PredictIt traders have Donald Trump as a strong favorite, but far from a lock, to be the GOP nominee in 2020.

The market for who the nominee will be has Trump at 62 percent, followed by Vice President Mike Pence at 12 percent, Ohio governor and frequent Trump critic John Kasich at 7 percent, and 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney at 5 percent.

There's a separate market asking a simpler question: Will Trump be the GOP nominee in 2020? In that market, traders are slightly more bullish on Trump's odds, giving the president a 64 percent chance of being re-nominated.

2020 General Election Predictions.

PredictIt asks a couple different questions about the 2020 general election.

Each of them point to Democrats being modest favorites, at this extremely early point, to take back the White House.

On the question of which party will control the White House, traders have Democrats at 57 percent.

On the question of who will be elected president, traders have Trump at 39 percent — far higher than any other individual candidate, since he's a virtual shoo-in to be on the ballot if he seeks re-election, but lower than the combined totals for Democratic candidates such as Harris, Sanders, and Biden.

Here's What Was Happening by This Point Leading up to the 2016 Election.

At the two year mark leading up to the presidential election, no presidential candidates had announced their run, yet.

The first presidential candidate to announce his run was former Governor Jeb Bush, who declared that he would be "exploring a run for president" in December, 2014 (which would be five months from this period in time).

As for the Democratic side, several democratic groups had already begun to back a run by Hillary Clinton for President, though she would not announce her run until April, 2015.

There are two polls in the RealClearPolitics database that reflect data from July, 2014, both of which indicated a massive lead for Clinton over all other potential democratic candidates at the time.

The poll by CNN indicated that Clinton was polling at 67 percent in July 2014, with candidates Warren and Biden trailing behind her at 10 percent or less.

For more infomation >> 2020 Election News: Biden, Holder, & 'Yoga Vote' Tim Ryan | Heavy.com - Duration: 11:04.

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【悲報】太りたくて1週間に油30g飲んでみた→ 衝撃の結果wwwwww - Duration: 0:21.

太りたくて1週間油30g飲んでみた結果wwwwwwww 体重に変化なくて草 毎 30gね 当然だろ1週間で200g弱しか飲んでないのに増えるとでも思ってんのか もしかして魚の油飲んでたのでは ココナッツオイル飲むと効率よく太れるってサ トあったからそれに沿ってやってた 12: >>6体「なんやこの健康的な油は! 中間おすすめ記事 水の代わりに油飲めば9000カロリーはいけるやろ 太りたい ら、油より炭水化物とれや米食え米 太りたいならいつでも何かしら食ってろや四六時 や グ リ セ リ ド 1 痩せたい人間に喧嘩売ってるの?ハゲ? 20: >13こっちは痩せすぎて頭痛起きるレベル 1 菓子パン永遠に食べてたらぶっくぶく なれるで 1 一日2合くってんだけど足りない? 1 米よりパンだったわすまんなパ 食いまくれ特に、甘いの 効率良くはないけどギガマックス食いなよ 2 ヒント 油 0g飲んでも30g以上体重が増えることは無いんやで 4 >>22ほんとこれ 2 イも毎日昼と晩と深夜にカップラーメン食ってるけど全然太らんわなんでやろ遺伝かな? 2 ラーメン、菓子パン、アイス、フライドポテト、甘いジュースをとり続けたら短期間 太れるで 1回の食事量増やすより間食増やせ 2 ココナッツオイルとか逆に痩せる ろ 2 >>26ワイが見たサイトによると ガリは栄養吸収能力が低い ココナッツオ ルは高カロリーと吸収の良さが両立してる珍しい食品 だからオイル飲め って書いてあ た 3 >>29毎食、コーラでハンバーガーとポテト食ってろ 45: >>29 コナッツオイルは代謝されやすいアンド多く含まれてる中鎖脂肪酸は脂肪になりにくいら いで 30: >>26痩せることはないんちゃう?炭酸飲料飲むより全然効率悪い けで 2 うんこめっちゃツルンッて出てきそう バターとかマーガリンたくさん食っ 方が太りそう 3 仕事以外の時間菓子食ってジュース飲んでラーメン食ってずーっと座 てPCやってりゃ太るやろ 3 タンパク質とって筋トレや 糖質もタンパク質も余っ 分は脂肪になるからとりあえず喰いまくれ 3 ワイ運動もしてないし常に家でゴロゴロ 間食も普通に食うけど太らんのや 多分くっそ燃費悪い体なんだと思う 3 >>36筋 レすれば? 3 >>36燃費悪かったら貯まるから太るで寝る前に菓子とカルピスが経 上一番太るゾ 3 燃費が悪い体ってのは筋肉量が多くて基礎代謝の多い奴の事やイッチ ただのガリだから栄養を吸収出来てないか長期的にカロリーを摂取できてない少食のどち か そりゃ普通に食って間食も普通に食べる程度じゃ太れん3倍は食わんと もっと イグイ飲めや鶏ガラ 4 痩せるときも太るときも最低3か月くらいみなあかんわ 4 は真っ先にエネルギーになるし、溜めるなら炭水化物よ 4 一回の食事とか一日の食事 量を食べれるガリはたくさんおる、けどそいつらはそれだけデブは年単位で常にカロリー 摂取し続けてるガリはこれができないだから太れない 4 肌ツルツルなりそう 引用元 おすすめ記事1001: 厳選記事 2020/01/01 00:00:00 ID: ewsmatomemory【衝撃的】に納豆3パック食ってた結果wwwマジかよww

For more infomation >> 【悲報】太りたくて1週間に油30g飲んでみた→ 衝撃の結果wwwwww - Duration: 0:21.

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Xero | Gusto Payroll Partnership - Duration: 7:27.

hey it's patti scharf CPA and co-founder of catching clouds the leader in

e-commerce accounting today I want to talk about the big announcement that

Xero made last week this is really huge you may not realize how huge this is but

it is big Xero made the announcement that they are ditching their Xero

payroll in favor of integrating Gusto's payroll in with their system now if you

haven't been using any payroll with Xero you probably don't care but this is a

huge deal so we started using Xero in 2012 we started using gustó which at the

time was called zenpayroll back in 2014 and at the time Zen payroll wasn't quite

in all 50 states yet but they were getting close and Xero bought Montilla

or something like that which is a payroll service and their intention was

to get to all 50 states it is now 2018 and I don't think that Xero payroll yet

was in all 50 states because big surprise it's really hard

payroll is really hard every state does everything differently it's really kind

of a colossal pain but gusto got into all 50 states by I want to say early

2015 so we they were almost there when we started using them we founded on them

about the last I don't know couple dozen or something and they got there really

actually pretty quickly so we're really happy with them but the thing is with

Xero and gusto working together and it has always been this way from day one it

has always worked seamlessly it's always been just a beautiful pairing and I

always wondered and I always ask the people at zero why didn't you just buy

gusto or at least just integrate with them because it's such a no-brainer you

talked to any of the accountants any of the big players in the industry who are

using Xero in the US and I would bet almost all of them are already using

gusto with for their payroll instead of Xero payroll and the reason is and

my opinion is that zero payroll is more of a do-it-yourself system and it's

completely contrary to the whole ideology of zero zero one of the big

things that I like about them is that they understand that the relationship

between the accountant and and the business owner is really critical to the

success of a small business so if you try and add in features and things so it

becomes a do-it-yourself product you aren't really you're doing a disservice

to the small businesses okay so so let me tell you if you're not familiar with

gusto some of the benefits of gusto besides

being in all 50 states besides being really cleanly integrated with zero

already and it sounds like they're going to do an even deeper integration which

is great I'm happy to see that and I'm curious to see what that looks like but

in addition to those things gussto also offers small businesses some HR

functionality they can be your broker force for health insurance and dental

insurance vision life they also have a paid time off system in the system if

it's not robust enough for you you can use t sheets that integrates with gusto

which integrates with zero gusto also uses a system called guideline to offer

retirement benefits so we have like a 401k in a Roth 401k and guide line just

takes care of all of the you know the 5500 and all the other paperwork and it

you know the onboarding and everything of our employees who want to use that

retirement plan so it's really great the way gussto has all these other benefits

for a small business beyond just processing of payrolls so as the

business grows they can offer more and more benefits and Gaston can take care

of all of that for you something that gussto just recently announced is they

have the ability to if you have employees who are living paycheck to

paycheck and they need an advance on their paycheck they will actually they

have a system where you can give your employees in advance

and it comes out of their next paycheck it's really it sounds like a great idea

for those small businesses who really need that functionality one of the other

things I really love about gusto is it has a whole self onboarding system so so

if you hire a new person you can send them a letter that says hey here's your

offer letter thanks for joining our team we're so happy to have you and then they

just enter in all the information for their w-4s their I 9s all the

information that's necessary for them to be paid through payroll it comes back to

the accountant who looks at it says yes I have everything that I need and done

but there's not so much back and forth no you gave me the wrong thing and

they're like like it's great to have that self onboarding feature one thing

that I heard somebody else complain about in a YouTube video is this four

day lead time like you have to process payroll on Monday so that they get paid

so your employees get paid on Friday but just be aware that you can contact

guests oh and they'll run like a credit check on them and they can bump that up

to two days so you process your payroll on Wednesday and your employees get paid

on Friday and I think one of the things that I love best about guusto is they

really feel like a partner like I've worked with some other full-service

payroll systems in the past and like if you have a notice or something you send

it to them and they just go I don't know account me like that it's not my problem

we don't do notices here but Xero will actually they'll take care of it for you

if they can if they can't they will come back to you and say here's exactly what

has to happen boom boom boom boom boom so in that way they really feel like

like a partner in the process so I guess in summary I just want to say I think

this is a great thing one of the things that I'm really impressed by is that I

know that zero has invested so much time and energy and money into making their

payroll system work and it really gives me a a sense of joy

that zero is able to take a step back though you know we went down the wrong

path but you know better late than never let's just cut our losses and do what we

should have done at the beginning and and get together with with gusto and

kudos to you I think that takes a lot of courage and I wish both of you all the

success if you don't share my opinion that is okay I'm curious to hear your

perspective if you have additional comments please leave them down below in

the comments and I guess that's it I hope you like this video if you did

please like comment and share if you haven't already please subscribe and

I'll catch you later

For more infomation >> Xero | Gusto Payroll Partnership - Duration: 7:27.

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Casellati: "Le leggi razziali una pagina di vergogna per l'Italia" - Duration: 4:05.

 «Una pagina di vergogna per la nazione italiana». Così la Presidente del Senato Elisabetta Casellati, ha ricordato le leggi razziali a 80 anni dalla loro emanazione, nella sua prima visita ufficiale alla Comunità Ebraica di Roma

Ad accoglierla nella grande Sinagoga il Rabbino Capo Riccardo Di Segni, la presidente della Comunità di Roma Ruth Dureghello, e la presidente dell'Unione delle Comunità Ebraiche Italiane Noemi Di Segni

      «Il danno che fu apportato alla cultura del nostro Paese da quella pagina ignobile fu incalcolabile

– ha ricordato la Presidente Casellati- Ottant'anni fa, nel luglio del '38 iniziò l'espulsione da tutte le scuole italiane

L'offensiva contro gli ebrei si spostò quindi all'interno della burocrazia ministeriale ed investì poi le stesse libere professioni

La patria inizia a morire e va verso la rovina proprio in quei giorni di luglio con l'approvazione di leggi estranee alla storia nazionale dello Stato italiano, alla sua ispirazione risorgimentale e al costume stesso degli italiani»

Citando Benedetto Croce, che definì le leggi razziali "negazione degli ideali di libertà e di umanità" e Giovanni Spadolini che da presidente del Senato ricordò come "il riscatto della patria coincise col no risoluto ad ogni razzismo comunque mascherato e comunque dissimulato", la Presidente Casellati ha sottolineato l'impegno del Senato contro ogni forma di discriminazione, e il contributo dell'ebraismo italiano alla vita del Paese

Così ha voluto ricordare Umberto Terracini, presidente dell'Assemblea costituente, «figura fondamentale nella costruzione dell'architettura democratica repubblicana»

      Unite le voci dei rappresentati delle istituzioni ebraiche nel ricordare che oggi in Senato siede la sopravvissuta alla Shoah Liliana Segre, e nel chiedere alla Presidente Casellati di proseguire nella lotta all'antisemitismo e all'intolleranza

«La differenza culturale dell'ebraismo italiano per questa nazione rappresenta una grande ricchezza

-ha detto il Rabbino Capo Di Segni - e noi siamo grati alle istituzioni perché la coltivano»

Dureghello ha poi chiesto impegno nel miglioramento della qualità del dibattito politico

«Che questo sia sempre inclusivo e rispettoso, - ha detto Dureghello - al fine di ottenere un dialogo sano in una società matura che non debba più incorrere nei rischi e nei pericoli di ottant'anni fa»

Infine l'invito di Noemi Di Segni ad aderire alla definizione dell'IHRA ( The International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance) sull'antisemitismo e ad «impegnarsi affinché ogni legge risponda non solo al rigoroso criterio della legalità formale, ma che sia frutto di un impegno di tutti noi a promuovere vita e progresso per l'umanità»

 

For more infomation >> Casellati: "Le leggi razziali una pagina di vergogna per l'Italia" - Duration: 4:05.

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Do gol ao ataque: dicas técnicas indicam dois nomes por posição para a rodada #15 - Duration: 11:33.

Ritmo frenético, cartoleiros! Mal acabou a rodada #14 e nossas atenções já estão 100% voltadas para a rodada #15

Assim que é bom! E o pensamento é sempre o mesmo: como mitar? Aqui, você confere duas dicas técnicas por posição - do goleiro ao atacante - que têm tudo para mandar bem

Confira e escale seu esquadrão! O mercado fecha nesta quarta-feira (25), às 17h30 (de Brasília)

Lembrando que, desta vez, apenas oito partidas valerão pontos para o Cartola: os jogos Ceará x Bahia e Atlético-PR x Vasco foram adiados e não serão computados

Boa sorte! + O cofre está vazio? Confira as dicas econômicas #15+ Seja PRO: participe de mais ligas e concorra a prêmios GOLEIROS Cássio (Corinthians) - C$ 8

54 Cássio, do Corinthians (Foto: Bruno Ulivieri/Estadão Conteúdo) Viveu uma gangorra nas últimas duas rodadas: de melhor a pior

Agora tem novo desafio; novamente complicado - contra o Cruzeiro, que vem embalado

Porém, dentro de casa, Cássio costuma ir bem: quatro partidas e média de 6,68 pontos

É possível que Mano Menezes poupe jogadores importantes no ataque, como Thiago Neves e Barcos, o que pode ser bom para a defesa do Corinthians

Adversário: Cruzeiro, na Arena Corinthians. Diego Alves (Flamengo) - C$ 13.13 Diego Alves, do Flamengo (Foto: Gilvan de Souza / Flamengo) Diego Alves faz um bom campeonato e tem passado segurança ao Flamengo tanto como mandante, quanto como visitante

Das 17 defesas difíceis que já fez, nove foram fora de casa. Além disso, conquistou o SG em três dos cinco jogos longe do Maracanã

Por fim, só negativou uma vez no ano - esta como mandante. Adversário: Santos, na Vila Belmiro

LATERAIS Éder Militão (São Paulo) - C$ 14.23 Éder Militão, do São Paulo (Foto: Érico Leonan / saopaulofc

net) É visitante na rodada, mas o São Paulo é a equipe com melhor desempenho fora de casa neste Brasileiro

Além disso, Militão apresenta média praticamente idêntica dentro e longe de seus domínios: 6,83 a 6,80

Outro ponto que deve ser levado em consideração é o número de roubadas de bola: das 26 que soma, 20 foram quando atuou como visitante

Vale lembrar que Militão teve a sua venda ao Porto confirmada, mas ainda fará quatro partidas pelo Tricolor Paulista

Adversário: Grêmio, na Arena do Grêmio. Zeca (Internacional) - C$ 10.77 Zeca, do Inter (Foto: Diego Guichard) Três jogos como visitante e média de 6,93 pontos

Bom, não?! Em todas as partidas (dentro e fora de casa), pontuou com roubadas de bola, mas se destacou no quesito justamente fora dos domínios colorados: com 10 de 14

Para completar, o América-MG não vence há cinco rodadas - foram quatro derrotas e um empate

Adversário: América-MG, no Independência. ZAGUEIROS Igor Rabello (Botafogo) - C$ 10

51 Igor Rabello, do Botafogo (Foto: Vitor Silva/SSPress/Botafogo) O Botafogo enfrenta a Chapecoense, equipe que ainda não venceu fora de casa neste Brasileiro e que tem um desfalque importante no ataque: Wellington Paulista

Dos sete confrontos que disputou longe da Arena Condá, a Chape só conseguiu marcar cinco vezes - o que é bom pensando no SG

O Alvinegro, por sua vez, ainda não perdeu como mandante (foram seis jogos) e foi "vazado" apenas quatro vezes

Adversário: Chapecoense, no Engenhão. Leonardo Silva (Atlético-MG) - C$ 9.88 Leonardo Silva, do Atlético-MG (Foto: Bruno Cantini/Atlético-MG) A aposta em Leonardo Silva se dá sobretudo ao favoritismo do Atlético-MG na rodada

O Paraná ainda não venceu fora de casa: acumula um empate e cinco derrotas, além de ter marcado apenas dois gols

A única partida que disputou como mandante neste Brasileiro, o zagueiro foi muito bem: 11,00 pontos

Adversário: Paraná, no Independência. MEIAS Bruno Henrique (Palmeiras) - C$ 13

47 Bruno Henrique, do Palmeiras (Foto: Cesar Greco/Ag.Palmeiras) Vem de ótima rodada, quando fez dois gols e foi o maior pontuador da vez (20,50 pontos)

O desafio, agora, é fora de casa, mas o Palmeiras enfrenta o Fluminense, que, ao lado de Vitória e Santos, é o terceiro pior mandante da competição

Bruno Henrique soma três gols, duas assistências e 34 RBs - média de quase três por partida

Adversário: Fluminense, no Maracanã. Cuéllar (Flamengo) - C$ 10.50 Cuéllar, do Flamengo (Foto: Gilvan de Souza / Flamengo) Tem um desafio difícil pela frente, é verdade, mas dois motivos principais nos levam a apostar em Cuéllar na rodada

O primeiro é o bom desempenho do Flamengo como visitante neste Brasileirão: já são seis jogos, três vitórias, apenas uma derrota e a segunda melhor campanha

E o segundo é especificamente em cima do colombiano: longe dos domínios rubro-negros, sua média é de 6,00 pontos por partida (enquanto como mandante é de 3,58)

Adversário: Santos, na Vila Belmiro. ATACANTES Neilton (Vitória) - C$ 11.99 Neilton, do Vitória (Foto: Maurícia da Matta / EC Vitória / Divulgação) Até aqui, Neilton apresenta ótimos números como mandante: quatro partidas, três gols e 9,80 pontos de média

Em casa, mesmo quando o Vitória não venceu, ele foi bem - sua pior pontuação foi 7,40 (por duas vezes) e sua maior 16,30

Já o Sport, adversário da vez, não vive bom momento: três derrotas e um empate nos últimos quatro jogos pelo Brasileirão - além de seis gols sofridos

Adversário: Sport, no Barradão. Ricardo Oliveira (Atlético-MG) - C$ 11.12 Ricardo Oliveira, do Atlético-MG (Foto: Atlético/Divulgação) Não foi bem nas últimas duas rodadas, mas tem grande chance de dar a volta por cima nesta quarta-feira, quando enfrenta o Paraná, no Independência

É justamente em casa onde o atacante costuma ir melhor - são seis jogos como mandante e média de 10,78 pontos; como visitante, são sete partidas e média de 4,16

Dos seis jogos em casa, negativou em apenas um e fez mais de 10,00 pontos em todos os outros

Por fim, o Paraná soma apenas um ponto dos 18 disputados longe de seus domínios. Adversário: Paraná, no Independência

JOGOS DA RODADA #15 Quarta-feira, 25/07Fluminense x PalmeirasAtlético-MG x ParanáSantos x FlamengoCorinthians x Cruzeiro Quinta-feira, 26/07Vitória x SportBotafogo x ChapecoenseGrêmio x São PauloAmérica-MG x Internacional *Lembrando que Atlético-PR x Vasco e Ceará x Bahia foram adiados e não valerão pontos para o Cartola FC

For more infomation >> Do gol ao ataque: dicas técnicas indicam dois nomes por posição para a rodada #15 - Duration: 11:33.

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Amy Cuddy: Sua Linguagem Corporal Molda Sua Vida - TED TALK - Duration: 21:03.

For more infomation >> Amy Cuddy: Sua Linguagem Corporal Molda Sua Vida - TED TALK - Duration: 21:03.

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सुप्रभात संदेश : अगर आप रोज 10 गिलास से कम पानी पीते हैं, तो हो जाएं सावधान || Good Morning Message - Duration: 2:22.

Good Morning Message : If you drink less than 10 glasses of water daily, then be careful

For more infomation >> सुप्रभात संदेश : अगर आप रोज 10 गिलास से कम पानी पीते हैं, तो हो जाएं सावधान || Good Morning Message - Duration: 2:22.

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Reina Sofía,el daño colateral que paga sin merecerlo las culpas del escándalo del Rey Juan Carlos y - Duration: 3:46.

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Alessandra Negrini brinca com '' de personagem - Duration: 1:41.

Pelo visto, o clima nos bastidores de Orgulho e Paixão, atual novela das 18h da Globo, é sempre o mais divertido possível

Nesta terça-feira (24), por exemplo, Alessandra Negrini compartilhou, com seus seguidores do Instagram, um clique em que aparece com um look bem de época

Toda cheia de pose, a intérprete da personagem Susana, no folhetim, ainda brincou, na legenda da postagem

"A nudez de antigamente!", chegou a escrever a conhecida artista, na ocasião, antes de também receber milhares de elogios

Vale lembrar que, na trama, Susana tem feito de tudo, especialmente para separar os protagonistas Darcy (Thiago Lacerda) e Elisabeta (Nathalia Dill)

For more infomation >> Alessandra Negrini brinca com '' de personagem - Duration: 1:41.

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Airhead [BLOOD & SHAKING SCREEN] [BNHA Villain Deku Animatic] - Duration: 1:40.

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Alfa Romeo 147 2.0 T.SPARK BUSINESS airco motor defect - Duration: 1:10.

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Volvo V70 2.4 T AUTOMAAT GEARTR. C.L. 200 PK, YOUNGTIMER, AIRCO, CRUISE CONTROL, 4X ELEK-RAMEN, CENT - Duration: 1:12.

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Amazing Rustic Beautiful Cottage Holiday Home with 4 Bedrooms for Large Family - Duration: 3:36.

Amazing Rustic Beautiful Cottage Holiday Home with 4 Bedrooms for Large Family

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周立波被莫虎起诉,律师分析会有2种结果,不和解就赔偿百万美金 - Duration: 5:32.

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2020 Election News: Biden, Holder, & 'Yoga Vote' Tim Ryan | Heavy.com - Duration: 11:04.

2020 Election News: Biden, Holder, & 'Yoga Vote' Tim Ryan | Heavy.com

Trump has not yet announced a reelection bid, though he filed the papers for reelection hours after his inauguration.

There's a ton we don't know about the 2020 presidential election, and a lot that we won't know for several months.

But while only one Democrat — congressman John Delaney of Maryland — has formally declared his candidacy, a picture of what the Democratic primary will look like is becoming a bit more clear.

We're about a year and a half away from the Iowa caucuses, which will take place on February 3, 2020.

Polling this far out from an election doesn't have great predictive value.

GOP primary polls at this point during the 2016 cycle didn't even list Donald Trump as an option.

But it's not useless, either.

At this point in 2014, Hillary Clinton had established herself as the clear Democratic frontrunner.

Though she got a more competitive challenge from Bernie Sanders than most people expected, she remained the favorite throughout the nominating contest.

What follows is the first installment in a series of posts examining the run-up to the Democratic and GOP primaries.

Bookmark our 2020 election page and follow me on Twitter for frequent updates and analysis.

2020 Election News.

Here's a roundup of the latest developments in the 2020 election:.

Republican National Committee Announces Charlotte as Location.

The Republican National Committee has announced Charlotte as its 2020 Convention Location.

The announcement marks the end of a year-long search for the site, in which Las Vegas was the other prime contender.

Charlotte, which hosted the Democratic convention in 2012, will host a major party convention for the second time in three cycles.

Former Attorney General Eric Holder Is Considering a Run.

White House Correspondent April Ryan tweeted on July 19 that former Attorney General Eric Holder is considering a presidential run.

Holder has previously acknowledged his considerations for a 2020 run, and said in a March interview that he would decide by "the beginning of next year" whether he would run or not.

Kamala Harris Recently Signed a Book Deal, Set to Release in January 2019.

About a week ago, Senator Kamala Harris signed a book deal with Penguin Books, which is often an indicator of a presidential run.

The book, titled 'The Truths We Hold: An American Journey', is set to be published in January, 2019, one year prior to the Iowa caucuses.

Joe Biden Says He'll Make a Decision by January.

As for Biden, he announced the deadline for announcing a potential presidential run.

During a meeting in Bogota, Columbia, Biden said that he knows he has to "make up his mind," and that he has to do it "by January.".

Ohio Rep.

Tim Ryan Is Considering a Presidential Run Focused on the 'Yoga Vote'.

According to a report by Intercept, Ohio Rep.

Tim Ryan is also considering a presidential run in 2020, and reportedly believes his journey to the White House would be via "the yoga vote".

Ryan has long been a champion of mindfulness and meditation, and has even created a "Quiet Time Caucus" in the House.

New 2020 Presidential Election Polls.

On July 20, CNN released its latest "Definitive Ranking of 2020 Democrats", a subjective set of rankings which lists Biden as the top contender, followed by Warren, Harris, Gilibrand, and Sanders to round out the top five.

In addition to those candidates, a bevy of new potential candidates were considered within the top ten, including Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Mayor Mitch Landrieu of New Orleans and Governor Steve Bullock of Montana.

2020 Election Prediction Markets.

Prediction markets such as those at PredictIt can be a useful window into the "conventional wisdom" about the state of the race.

Here's how traders at PredictIt see the Democratic primary, Republican primary, and general election: (Note: Prices for each candidate reflect the percentage chance traders give each candidate of winning the race.

For example, if a candidate is trading at 34 cents, that translates to that candidate having a 34 percent chance of winning the race.

For the sake of clarity, I'm converting PredictIt prices to percentage chances:).

2020 Democratic Primary Predictions.

PredictIt traders have Senator Kamala Harris as a narrow frontrunner to win the nomination.

Traders give Harris a 20 percent chance to win the nomination.

She's closely followed by Bernie Sanders at 17 percent, Joe Biden at 16 percent, Elizabeth Warren at 12 percent, and Cory Booker at 11 percent.

If you think there's a good chance the Democrats will nominate a celebrity candidate, you can get favorable odds on Oprah (4 percent) and The Rock (2 percent.).

2020 Republican Primary Predictions.

PredictIt traders have Donald Trump as a strong favorite, but far from a lock, to be the GOP nominee in 2020.

The market for who the nominee will be has Trump at 62 percent, followed by Vice President Mike Pence at 12 percent, Ohio governor and frequent Trump critic John Kasich at 7 percent, and 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney at 5 percent.

There's a separate market asking a simpler question: Will Trump be the GOP nominee in 2020? In that market, traders are slightly more bullish on Trump's odds, giving the president a 64 percent chance of being re-nominated.

2020 General Election Predictions.

PredictIt asks a couple different questions about the 2020 general election.

Each of them point to Democrats being modest favorites, at this extremely early point, to take back the White House.

On the question of which party will control the White House, traders have Democrats at 57 percent.

On the question of who will be elected president, traders have Trump at 39 percent — far higher than any other individual candidate, since he's a virtual shoo-in to be on the ballot if he seeks re-election, but lower than the combined totals for Democratic candidates such as Harris, Sanders, and Biden.

Here's What Was Happening by This Point Leading up to the 2016 Election.

At the two year mark leading up to the presidential election, no presidential candidates had announced their run, yet.

The first presidential candidate to announce his run was former Governor Jeb Bush, who declared that he would be "exploring a run for president" in December, 2014 (which would be five months from this period in time).

As for the Democratic side, several democratic groups had already begun to back a run by Hillary Clinton for President, though she would not announce her run until April, 2015.

There are two polls in the RealClearPolitics database that reflect data from July, 2014, both of which indicated a massive lead for Clinton over all other potential democratic candidates at the time.

The poll by CNN indicated that Clinton was polling at 67 percent in July 2014, with candidates Warren and Biden trailing behind her at 10 percent or less.

For more infomation >> 2020 Election News: Biden, Holder, & 'Yoga Vote' Tim Ryan | Heavy.com - Duration: 11:04.

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Local farmers aren't complaining about this week's rain - Duration: 0:44.

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This Is How You Get Away With Murder Without A Scandal Like Eve | Hit The Floor - Duration: 1:33.

WATCH DEREK ROMAN TAKE ON HIS OLD TEAM

WHEN LOS ANGELES HOSTS MIAMI, ONLY ON ISN.

A COUPLE LESS SHOTS OF HIM WEARING A MIAMI UNIFORM.

THIS LITTLE MATCHUP IS LOADED ENOUGH.

ANYTHING ELSE?

[SIGHS] YOU'RE WEARING TOO MUCH COLOGNE.

[CHUCKLES]

SO, THIS IS WHERE THE ACTION HAPPENS.

ONE OF THE PLACES.

THIS MIAMI GAME IS GOING TO BE SOMETHING.

YOU HAVE YOUR HANDS FULL.

SO DOES JUDE.

IT'S GONNA BE A BAPTISM BY FIRE FOR HIM.

HE CAN HANDLE IT. CAN HE HANDLE DEREK?

SEEMS THEY HAVE HISTORY.

THEY SHOULD BOTH TREAD CAREFULLY.

DEREK NEVER DOES ANYTHING CAREFULLY.

JUDE KNOWS THAT.

JUDE'S NEVER BEEN IN THE POSITION

TO DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT, THOUGH,

AND HE'S OSCAR KINKADE'S SON.

HE'LL BE FINE.

NOW, IF YOU'LL EXCUSE ME,

I HAVE SOME BODY SPRAY I NEED TO CHOKE ON.

HELLO.

I NEED SOME GAS THROWN ON A FIRE,

AND I HEAR YOU'RE THE GUY THAT CAN DO IT.

For more infomation >> This Is How You Get Away With Murder Without A Scandal Like Eve | Hit The Floor - Duration: 1:33.

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Derek Starts Ultimate KNOCK DOWN, DRAG OUT | Hit The Floor - Duration: 2:50.

[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]

I'M NOT SURE IF YOU'RE AWARE,

BUT SOME OF THESE PEOPLE WANT YOUR BLOOD.

YEAH, I CAUGHT THAT.

GIVE 'EM HELL.

ANNOUNCER: NUMBER 22... DEREK ROMAN!

[CROWD BOOS]

[WHISTLE TRILLS]

[WHISTLE TRILLS] WATCH THE TOP!

[WHISTLE TRILLS]

LOOK, R.J., I DON'T KNOW WHAT YOU HEARD.

I HEARD ENOUGH.

PAX, WHERE'S THE COVER? I'M TRYING, BRO.

PAX, GET YOUR MAN. HERE.

AH, YEAH, YEAH.

YEAH, YOU THINK YOU CAN HOLD ME, HUH?

SHOW ME WHAT YOU GOT, SON.

SON? YOU GOT NO SON.

WHAT? WHAT'D YOU SAY? YOU HEARD WHAT I SAID, BOY.

YOU AIN'T GOT NO SON.

YOUR TWO-CENT EX-WIFE TOOK CARE OF THAT.

[GRUNTING] [WHISTLE TRILLING]

[WHISTLE TRILLING]

[WHISTLE TRILLING]

[CAMERA SHUTTERS CLICKING]

DEREK--DEREK, I HAD YOUR BACK, BRO.

I WAS RIGHT THERE.

I DON'T NEED YOU TO HAVE MY BACK IN A FIGHT!

I NEED SOMEONE TO HAVE MY BACK ON THE COURT!

I CAN'T DO IT ALL.

STOP IDOLIZING ME, MAN.

I AM NOT YOUR BROTHER.

YOU WANNA SPIT MY STATS TO ME ALL THE DAMN TIME,

HOW ABOUT I SPIT YOURS?

YOU PLAYED FOUR YEARS IN COLLEGE.

THAT TELLS ME YOU'RE NOT A RISK TAKER.

YOU SPENT THE FEWEST MINUTES ON THE BENCH PER GAME

IN THE WHOLE EASTERN DIVISION.

THAT TELLS ME YOUR GAME IS YOUR LEGS,

YOUR ENDURANCE.

LOOK, I DON'T KNOW WHAT IS GOING ON WITH YOU,

BUT YOU ARE USELESS OUT THERE.

PLAY THE GAME OR GET OUT OF IT.

For more infomation >> Derek Starts Ultimate KNOCK DOWN, DRAG OUT | Hit The Floor - Duration: 2:50.

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周立波未回应盗枪论?某某家的豪宅有很多摄像头 - Duration: 4:05.

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Trump Says FCC's Refusal to OK Sinclair Deal Is 'Sad and Unfair' – Variety - Duration: 4:48.

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7 Signs Of Liver Damage Caused By Unhealthy Lifestyle & It's Cure - Duration: 6:35.

7 Signs Of Liver Damage Caused By Unhealthy Lifestyle & It's Cure!!

Apart from being the largest organ of our body, liver also got some crucial roles to

play!

It is responsible for a ton of functioning essential to keep us alive.

Keeping this in mind, it's essential to take proper care of it if you wanna be healthy

in a long run.

The good news is you can easily trace any signs of liver damage & can also stop the

damage.

Below are the 6 easy to trace signs of liver damage due to unhealthy lifestyle.

1.

Bloody stool poop.

Cirrhosis is a condition in which scarring of liver takes place.

Well, as you may know our body has the ability to replace harmed cells by healthy one so

in this case also our body helps replace scar tissue by healthy tissue and thus prevents

the liver damage.

But this protection is only upto a limit!

The damage caused by cirrhosis can't be completely reversed and in long term can become

so extensive that your liver can stop functioning.

This is called liver failure.

The early symptoms of cirrhosis can be determined by many ways like jaundice or oedema.

But the most easy is by stool characteristics.

A bloody, dark, tarry-looking stools is a sign of liver cirrhosis.

So if you are seeing this you have to be careful but don't worry it can be prevented.

Cirrhosis occurs due to excessive alcohol consumption & sometimes due to hepatitis C

infection.

If you're a alcohol addict you have to focus on the amount you consume.

Men should drink no more than 3-4 units of alcohol a day.

Women should drink no more than 2-3 units a day.

2.

Itchy skin.

A flaky rash is another telltale sign of liver damage.

If you suffer from any sort of liver damage you will have itchy skin over certain small

areas, such as on an arm or leg, or over your whole body.

You may ask, 'An itchy skin can occur by a ton of ways, how to trace if it's a signal

for liver damage?'

So here's the thing, if it lasts more than two weeks and doesn't improve with self-care

measures, then you can guess it as a symptom of liver damage!

The reason for this itching is related to bile salts.

These salts get deposited in your skin when bilirubin levels rise and have been thought

to be the primary cause of itching.

The quick fix to it is related to alcohol consumption & water intake!

Alcohol is a beverage which has a big role in reducing water in our body & in scarcity

of water these bile salts gets deposited in skin causing rashes.

3.

Yellowish eyes & skin (Jaundice).

Jaundice includes yellowing of skin and eyeballs, actually it's a bit way dirty disease then

it sounds!

The pigment bilirubin responsible for the yellow color of our faeces when gets deposited

in our body causes yellowness of skin & eye whites.

Do it sounds dirty, well maybe but the main thing is it's not good for our health.

Our liver is the source of bilirubin, it produces a limited quantity of it regularly but the

thing that leads to jaundice like condition is when it's not properly eliminated by

our body.

The reason is same, water scarcity & excess alcohol consumption & you know what to do!

Just make a habit of drinking 8 ounces of water daily & reducing your alcohol consumption

so you're good to go.

4.

Loss of appetite.

There are several factors and conditions that can trigger loss of appetite including physical,

biological, mental and emotional factors.

Also I wanna tell you, it's a symptom of bad health & not a disease!

It's a condition when a person eat less than what he or she normally consumes.

The person may also not eat at all lasting anywhere from one meal to several days.

I think we all have suffered this at least once in our lives maybe not due to any liver

issues but due to some other cause.

And you'll agree it's way more bad that what it looks like!

The feeling is indescribable.

It is also known as anorexia.

The main question here is what causes it & how to deal with it.

As I said earlier, it can be due to any of the physical, biological, mental and emotional

factors.

But the treatment can be physical therapy or relaxation (Meditation).

It will improve hormone levels leading to improvement in appetite!

Relieving internal stress and doing meditation to enhance mood and mental wellness will be

amazingly helpful in boosting appetite.

5.

Swelling & abdominal pain.

The organs of our abdomen are contained in a sac like membrane called the Peritoneum.

Normally this cavity contains only a small amount of fluid but due to our great efforts

in drinking alcohol beyond limits, we become able to guide our liver to accumulate some

more amount of it!

This condition when the fluid increases in amount causes an excess accumulation of water

and sodium in the body.

This fluid then further leak into the peritoneal cavity which leads to extra pressure on our

abdomen & other body parts causing that pain & swelling.

As every liver related problems can be effectively solved by more water intake & less alcohol

consumption, this can also be treated by that!

But if you can also focus on maintaining a healthy weight & eat a balanced diet for excellent

results.

6.

Swelling in other body parts like legs.

This swelling in your joints or any other part of body is not different from abdominal

one.

These are also due to accumulation of extra fluid!

But there's one thing uncommon.

Joint swelling also contains bile salts which makes it more painful.

You can go for regular exercises to avoid accumulation of these salts & can also have

healthy diet for proper nourishment of your liver.

For more infomation >> 7 Signs Of Liver Damage Caused By Unhealthy Lifestyle & It's Cure - Duration: 6:35.

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I had a girl not a girl not a girl not a girl not a girl

you have nice titties for a little boy

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